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- MURDER AND SUICIDE, RESPECTIVELY
- by Ryan North
- SCENE: Two scientists, Dr. Rosch and Dr. Nelson, are discussing experimental
- results in a lab. A machine is at the centre of the room, wires leading
- from it to various terminals at the edge of the room. A hand-made label
- affixed to the machine by one of the technicians identifies the machine as
- “The Machine of Death.”
- Dr. Rosch: So the machine works. Given a sample of blood, it tells
- you how you’re going to die.
- Dr. Nelson: Yes.
- Dr. Rosch: And we know this because we’ve done experiments on
- lab mice and on ourselves. Once the mice started to die, we started
- to get 100% accuracy. And with the passing of Dr. Chomyn last
- week, it seems it works on humans just as well.
- Dr. Nelson: Yes—we need more data points, of course, but there’s
- no technical reason why it won’t work just as well on any mammal.
- Dr. Rosch: Okay. This being the case, I have a question.
- 189 Murder & Suicide, Respectively
- SCENE: Outdoors, Dr. Rosch and Dr. Nelson are strolling outside,
- walking and chatting.
- Dr. Rosch: So, I know I’m new here, and I wasn’t around for the
- invention of the Machine. I’m necessarily approaching this from
- an outsider’s perspective.
- Dr. Nelson: Yes, but that’s fine.
- Dr. Rosch: Right. So, here’s a thought experiment. We’re going to
- assume that we’re ignoring the animal cruelty laws, we’re getting
- around them somehow.
- Dr. Nelson: Without jail time.
- Dr. Rosch: Yeah. So, given that, we pick out a rat—let’s call him
- Timmy.
- Dr. Nelson: Okay.
- Dr. Rosch: So we take Timmy the Rat and we decide that we’re
- going to kill Timmy by braining him with a hammer.
- Dr. Nelson: (surprised noises)
- Dr. Rosch: Okay, so stay with me. We decide, we promise to ourselves,
- that as soon as the test is done, we’re going to kill Timmy
- the Rat by smashing in his skull with a hammer. We run Timmy
- through the machine and it comes out “KILLED BY BEING
- BRAINED WITH A HAMMER.”
- Dr. Nelson: Well, not necessarily. It could be any number
- of things. It might say “KILLED BY SCIENTIST” or “GOT
- HAMMERED” or what have you. We don’t know why there’s such
- variability, but there is.
- Dr. Rosch: Right. But what all those predictions have in common is
- that they all fit with being hit on the head with a hammer.
- Dr. Nelson: Correct.
- Dr. Rosch: Okay, so we take this prediction, read it, and then we kill
- Timmy by smashing his head in with a hammer. Everything’s fine,
- right?
- Dr. Nelson: Right. Of course, if we decided to spare Timmy, then
- the paper would reflect that. It wouldn’t have said “KILLED BY
- BEING BRAINED WITH A HAMMER,” it would have said something
- like “DIED OF OLD AGE,” or whatever.
- Dr. Rosch: That’s fine. It’s crazy and creepy, but it’s fine. The predictions
- are infallible. Sometimes they’re unclear or ironic, but
- they always always come true.
- Dr. Nelson: That’s correct.
- Dr. Rosch: Okay. So what if we decide we’re going to kill Timmy by
- smashing his skull in, but we’re not going to do it right away. We
- run him through the machine and then put him in a box, where
- he’ll have food and water and be cared for, and we leave him there
- for a few months, and then we brain him. The prediction’s still
- going to be hammer-related, yes?
- Dr. Nelson: Most likely. Of course, the longer we try to keep him
- alive, the greater the chance that the rat might die from some
- other cause, a heart attack or something else we can’t control.
- Dr. Rosch: But we can know that by the prediction: if it says something
- like “HEART ATTACK”—something that’s inconsistent with
- being killed by us with a blow to the head—then we know the rat
- isn’t going to live long enough for us to kill it.
- Dr. Nelson: I suppose.
- Dr. Rosch: So let’s, say, take a sample of blood from Timmy and we
- put him in this box, this life-support box. Then, we take this box
- and we ship it overseas. Overnight. We ship it to Fred, say.
- Dr. Nelson: Dr. Merry?
- Dr. Rosch: Yeah. And we tell Dr. Merry that it’s coming, and then
- when he gets the box, let’s say Timmy’s survived. We’ve instructed
- Dr. Merry to open it up and kill the rat inside with a hammer at
- precisely 11:59 p.m., which he does without hesitation.
- Dr. Nelson: A stroke before midnight?
- Dr. Rosch: Sure! For drama’s sake. Then, one minute later, at
- midnight, we actually run the blood sample we took earlier
- through the machine. What do you suppose it’ll say?
- Dr. Nelson: Something about being killed with a hammer, of
- course. It’s already done.
- Dr. Rosch: Precisely.
- (A beat.)
- Dr. Nelson: So?
- Dr. Rosch: You don’t see it? What if we could ship this box further
- away? What if Dr. Merry lived thousands of light-years away, and
- we could somehow get the box to him? If we set a time for him to
- do the killing, and for us to run the blood through the machine
- shortly afterward, then as soon as we read the machine’s prediction,
- we’ve sent information faster than the speed of light.
- (Dr. Nelson thinks for a second.)
- Dr. Nelson: Well, it’s an interesting thought experiment, but we
- can’t send things thousands of light years away, much less with precise
- timing. The rat would be long-dead by the time it arrived.
- Dr. Rosch: Sure. But if we could—
- Dr. Nelson (interrupting): Even if we could, no information is actually
- being transmitted. If Merry’s good at following our orders,
- he’s going to kill the rat, yes? And we could expect this when we
- sent the rat in the first place. Besides, we could run the test as
- soon as we take the first blood sample, and we’d already know how
- it’s going to turn out. So yeah, we’re getting information about the
- future, but it’s not breaking any universal speed limits. The information
- was always there, encoded in the rat’s blood.
- Dr. Rosch: Hmm.
- Dr. Nelson: But…but…
- (He trails off, lost in thought. Dr. Rosch stares at him for a moment.)
- Dr. Nelson: You’re just using one rat in your example.
- Dr. Rosch: Yes. Just to make things easy to imagine. We could send
- lots of rats—we probably would, in case some of them died for
- whatever reason.
- Dr. Nelson: Okay. Okay. What if we made, say, 100 of these lifesupport
- boxes, and put a few rats in each.
- Dr. Rosch: So, about 300 rats.
- Dr. Nelson: Yes. And we don’t send these rats light years away or
- overseas, we just...put them in storage.
- Dr. Rosch: Each collection of rats in their own life support box…
- Dr. Nelson: Right! We number each box. (excitedly) And a lab rat,
- properly taken care of, lives for, what, 2–3 years?
- Dr. Rosch (slowly catching on): On average.
- Dr. Nelson: So we put these rats in storage and then, 2 years later,
- or sooner, if need be...
- (Dr. Nelson looks at Dr. Rosch, eyes wide with the idea.)
- Dr. Nelson: ...We take them out.
- Dr. Rosch (understanding): And we kill them.
- Dr. Nelson: But we don’t kill them all with a hammer to the head.
- We have a code.
- Dr. Rosch: Each death means something different.
- Dr. Nelson: It’ll be noisy—we can’t trust the machine to make it
- clear exactly how each rat dies. But we’ve got more than one rat for
- each letter. And if we choose the deaths carefully…we should be
- able to minimize the overlap between predictions.
- Dr. Rosch: A different death for each letter of the alphabet. Each
- box equals one letter.
- Dr. Nelson: We could send a message back in time to the point
- when we first took blood samples from the rats.
- (Dr. Rosch and Dr. Nelson stare at each other.)
- Dr. Rosch: We’ve got to get to the lab.
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