Advertisement
Not a member of Pastebin yet?
Sign Up,
it unlocks many cool features!
- *For the -Kremlinologists- Plusologists out there*
- TL;DR: 0.2% of G+ accounts have posted something _other_ than a YouTube comment in the past 18 days -- about 4.4 million people _publicly_ using G+ for posts.
- There are about 2.2 billion G+ _profiles_.
- Of these, about 9% have _any_ publicly-posted content.
- Of those, about 37% are YouTube posts, another 8% are profile photo changes.
- Only 6% of active profiles have any post activity in 2015 (18 days so far).
- Only _half_ of those, 3% of active profiles, are _not_ YouTube posts.
- *That is, 0.2% of all G+ profiles, about 4.4 million users, have made public _post_ in 2015. That's 244,000 users posting _daily_.*
- More than "hundreds", but not by all that much.
- This _doesn't_ include non-public posts or _comments_, but its' a pretty clear indication of the level of activity on G+.
- How do we get this?
- A rough sense of G+ size in terms of profiles can come from the sitemap files.
- If my rough counts are right, 50,000 sitemap files of 45,429 entries gives around 2.2 billion profile pages.
- Search for blank profiles turns up a count far lower than mentioned in the article (~20k). I suspect funny bidness.
- See below. A crawl of an arbitrarily selected sitemap (2820 entries so far) shows about 9.2% of Profiles have any public activity. That gives us 202 million users with _any_ activity on G+ at _any_ time. Let's see if I can't find a most recent post date for those that _are_ active.
- 37 of 100 most recent posts are comments to YouTube videos. That's 37%.
- OK, of 283 profiles checked so far _with_ comments, 34.6% have as their _most recent_ comment a YouTube video comment -- literally "commented on a video on YouTube".
- Another fairly commonly occurring pattern is "changed * profile photo" That's another 8.1% of posts.
- So, of 283 profiles _with_ posts, what's the most recent post date? Only 245 of 283 _have_ a "Shared publicly" line.
- By year:
- 4 2011
- 23 2012
- 62 2013
- 139 2014
- 17 2015
- That is, 17/283, or _six percent of *active* profiles have left _any_ content in the first 18 days of 2015.
- Of those 17 posts, 8 are comments on YouTube videos -- that is, *this is the payoff of the : it's _doubled_ the _apparent_ traffic on G+.*
- But this leaves us only 3% of _active_ profiles as active in 2015 -- that's 3% of 9%, or *0.2% of all G+ accounts are active. Roughly 4.4 million people.*
- That's actually far lower than I'd been allowing for previously (30 - 100 million posts).
- *More on methods*
- OK, let's crawl G+.
- I've picked a single sitemap file and am crawling the profile pages on it with the following script:
- i=0; time zcat sitemap-25007-of-50000.gz | while read URL; do i=$(( i + 1 )); echo -e "$i: \c"; lynx -dump $URL | grep "hasn't shared anything" || echo "Not found"; done | tee log
- This produced output similar to:
- 1: Jenilee hasn't shared anything with you.
- 2: Brian hasn't shared anything with you.
- 3: Gene hasn't shared anything with you.
- 4: kishor hasn't shared anything with you.
- 5: Daniel hasn't shared anything with you.
- 6: aping hasn't shared anything with you.
- 7: Corey hasn't shared anything with you.
- 8: Not found
- 9: Ohh hasn't shared anything with you.
- 10: kinyo2006 hasn't shared anything with you.
- 11: patrik hasn't shared anything with you.
- 12: Melina hasn't shared anything with you.
- 13: Not found
- 14: Akihito hasn't shared anything with you.
- 15: Paul hasn't shared anything with you.
- 16: Pamela hasn't shared anything with you.
- 17: Eddie hasn't shared anything with you.
- 18: bekzat hasn't shared anything with you.
- 19: H hasn't shared anything with you.
- 20: Calm hasn't shared anything with you.
- ("Page" profiles create dupe output that's filtered out in the analysis above). The logfile creates the data source I've used for further analysis above.
- With 214 profiles crawled (there are 45,000+ in the file, this'll take a while or I'll be blocked), I see 9% rate of profiles _with_ content on their pages. That's 20 of 214 pages.
- I'll posit this is close to a random sampling, though other sitemap pages can be compared as well, and others can replicate the method here.
- And yes, I could parallelize the process but suspect that I'm in danger of triggering abuse blocks as it is.
- Going through the list and looking at most-recently-posted dates would also be interesting.
- Note that those who are using G+ for _only_ non-public, or Community discussions won't appear here.
- But it's pretty clear that the rate of participation is about 8-12% of all _created_ accounts.
- Now at 623 queries: 55/623 => 8.83%. Percentage is actually trending down.
- 1,195 queries, 9.4%.
- 6,569 queries, 8.91%
- http://www.labnol.org/internet/google-plus-users/21035/
Advertisement
Add Comment
Please, Sign In to add comment
Advertisement