Trapwire Stratfor Email 50 (Mubarak)

RE: TrapWire read on Mubarak

Released on 2012-08-12 08:00 GMT
Email-ID 	1112521
Date 	2011-02-11 01:49:07
From 	burton@stratfor.com
To 	analysts@stratfor.com, tactical@stratfor.com
List-Name 	analysts@stratfor.com
But he's been one of our staunchest allies in the GWOT and we'll start
paying the price (with more attacks on US facilities) when he's gone. If I
were him, I'd take my millions, head to Tahiti and giggle at Obama as he
struggles with the flood of attacks that are sure to come.

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From: analysts-bounces@stratfor.com [mailto:analysts-bounces@stratfor.com]
On Behalf Of Fred Burton
Sent: Thursday, February 10, 2011 6:43 PM
To: 'Analyst List'
Subject: TrapWire read on Mubarak

Fill your gas tanks this weekend.



(Panetta botched this one....)

Really tough call. Mubarak has an ego bigger than Cowboy's Stadium and has
long ago disassociated from the man-on-the-street. (Remind me to tell you
some horror stories of working with the service there and the way the
treated the citizenry). He's also not one to rule by committee, so there's
probably little chance anyone's getting through to him with logic. Would
also not surprise me if he's actually a little scared. Where exactly would
he go...and what would he do if he leaves office this way? Is a date with
the International Court in his future on human rights charges...like so
many modern dictators? He can't be feeling too confident with this
administration covering his ass if the Egyptian populace starts screaming
for an accounting of past sins.



The real kicker in all this is that the only reason we don't have a 9/11
type incident happening every week in this country is because of dictators
like Mubarak. He's kept his boot on the throat of the Brotherhood and
every other radical Islamic group for some time now. Yes, he has probably
thrown many people in prison for nothing more than being in the wrong
place at the wrong time. But he's been one of our staunchest allies in the
GWOT and we'll start paying the price (with more attacks on US facilities)
when he's gone. If I were him, I'd take my millions, head to Tahiti and
giggle at Obama as he struggles with the flood of attacks that are sure to
come.





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