http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6764539/ << 4ref offer ignored
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6904954/ << key and a ref offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6265424/ << had a willing buyer at his price a week ago, apparently didn't go through though because i'm now buying this one.

it's really difficult to try and find a perfect price for such a low supply/demand item, but i don't think it's possible to argue that the old price is a better one that this.