ladle seeding, probability

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0 seeds:
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a) Probability of facing a noob team in match 1:

11/15 = 0.733333333333

73.3%


b) Probability of facing a noob team in match 2:

(11/15)*(10/14)*(9/13) = 0.362637362637

36.3%


c) Probability of facing a noob team in match 3:

(11/15)*(10/14)*(9/13)*(8/12)*(7/11)*(6/10)*(5/9) =
= 0.0512820512821

5.12%


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2 seeds:
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a) Probability of facing a noob team in match 1:

((2/14) + (12/14) * (2/13)) = 0.274725274725 = 27.5%

1-0.274725274725 = 0.725274725275 = 72.5%

(2/14) means you have a 2/14 (14.3%) chance of being put
against one of the 2 seeds.
(12/14)*(2/13) means there's an additional 13.2% chance of
being put against a total pro, unseeded team.



b) Probability of facing a noob team in match 2:

8/14 * 11/13 * 10/12 * 9/11 = 0.32967032967

33%

c) Probability of facing a noob team in match 3:

0.00000% (there's a seeded team on each side of the bracket).


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4 seeds:
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a) Probability of facing a noob team in match 1:

4/16 (25%) are seeded total pro teams and spread out.
4/12 (33.3%) chance you're next to a seeded total pro team and lose.
8/12 (66.7%) chance you're next to a total noob team and move on.


b) Probability of facing a noob team in match 2:

0.00000% (tough luck)


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8 seeds:
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a) Probability of facing a noob team in match 1:

0.00000% (ouch. let's not have 8 seeds)