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Feb 10th, 2016
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  1.  
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  4. two in 100 deaths can be donated assuming all donors
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  7. deceased donors in March last year
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  9. http://www.anzdata.org.au/anzlod/v1/summary-org-donation.htm
  10. cost of our seminar
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  14. new registrations of deceased donors in March this year at our seminar
  15. 10
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  18. my time commitment
  19. part time
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  22. projected government savings rate
  23. 1 Million per month for every 20,000AUD funded
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  26. market saturation
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  31. cost effectiveness
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  36. risk analysis
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  38. once we have an operation in each major Australian university and are operating one session a month of the university semester If there are 50 universities in Australia (guess) and 8 months of schooling a year, we are cost saving up 50*8*1M= 450Million dollars of fundingBased on the Melbourne uni operation, our organ donation seminars operates at a projected maximum cost of $5000 per university theatre hire (could be free, as in the case of University of Melbourne case study), per new campus program which generates 10 additional organ donation registrations. $5000*50=250,000. This equates to an estimates ___ dollars per additional QALY with room for more funding up to the cost per new campus program (based on the university of melbourne’s campu size) per the student population in Australia: assuming that the new donor subscription rate per campus program is proportional to campus population size. For comparison, the most effective Australian initiatives get additional QALYs for ___ dollars and international ___ dollars. Therefore, donor education seminars are an (in)effective initiative and [has been suspended/calls for more funding].
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  40. public health promotion and funding is generally made at a rate of anything that cost less than 50,000AUD. We’re not just cheap, we will SAVE money: we estimate over a billion QALY’s.
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  42. What are our chances of failure? Given that I practically organised the unimelb session on my own, and the donatelife appears to have no shortage of speakers (and new ones can easily be recruited from the population of transplant recipients, family members and live donors for instance, or even people that have already signed up after attending our seminars) and that actually organising this is something that people could be recruited to do on their own in other cities or campuses very easily, without specialised training and a little time, I estimate risk of failure at less than 10%
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  45. risk adjusted expected value to government
  46. - giving us an expected value of still over a billion dollars if you give me enough funding just to work on this full time, and hire part time staff to work at each Australian universities
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  49. costing for full time work on this for me and a part time distributed team
  50. (50k * 50 = 250,000AUD) for ground staff, 125,000 (maybe 25 administative staff for finance, accounting and such) and an matching research and evaluation budget of up to 250k (guess, could be $0 plausibly ) plus venue hire costs of 250k + misc funds of 125k at my discretion for a total of 1M asking funds.
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  53. sustainable operations
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  55. For twenty million in funding I could put that in a fixed deposit account and get five percent interest reliably to pay for the seminars regularly every year without top up, and your return on tomb will be billions every year for as long as students go to physical locations for tertiary education...the foreseeable future.
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