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The one poll that matters the most is elections, that's for sure, but in this case the Reuters poll got the popular vote from the 2016 elections close. In the Kav's case, the poll is for popular vote as well,

 

Anyway, as i said many times to many people, including to your post above, you don't get to say this poll is good, ergo things are getting better when it shows the things you like, and then say the same poll is bad when it shows the things you don't like. If you think the poll was bad - then say simply i don't believe polls. I noticed this with other people too.

 

 OMG look at this poll, things are very good. Then after that OMG, i don't believe polls.

 

This is childish thinking. Maybe Cognitive Dissonance too (people accepting only things they like).

 

Btw CH often cites AE who is using this poll a lot, so if the poll is BS, then those CH articles are BS too. Including parts of this one. Yet AE is widely cited in the right wing community.

 

Now, whether there will be electoral backlash - i have different opinion, based on demographics. First, the number of minorities is growing. 50 percent of kids under 10 are from minority groups. Second, marriage rates are declining and unmarried women (and men to smaller extent) vote left. Specificly, among millenials, marriage is at an all time low.

 

So you will have to do a lot more than you are doing. Now, if i see a good election result in Novermber, especially good voting numbers for whites, i will give you props and i will be happy with that. But if i see something like 55 percent of whites voting Rep., 45 percent voting Dem, then i will criticise that