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  1. IDW10800
  2. Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
  3. Western Australia
  4.  
  5. Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
  6. Issued at 1:04pm WST on Thursday the 8th of December 2011
  7. Valid until midnight WST Sunday    
  8.  
  9.  
  10. Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
  11. At 11am WST Thursday, Severe Tropical Cyclone Alenga [Category 3] was located
  12. near 16.2S 96.0E, moving east southeast at 36 kilometers per hour. The cyclone
  13. should start to weaken from Thursday evening, and is likely to weaken below
  14. cyclone intensity during Saturday. Alenga is not expected to impact the WA
  15. mainland or island communities.
  16.  
  17. Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
  18. Friday      :High
  19. Saturday    :High
  20. Sunday      :Low
  21.  
  22. Potential Cyclones:
  23. There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
  24. develop over the next three days.
  25.  
  26.  
  27. NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
  28. tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
  29. Very Low:  less than 5%      Low:    5% - 20%,
  30. Moderate:  20% - 50%         High:   Over 50%
  31.  
  32. The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
  33. south of 10S.
  34. Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
  35. www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
  36. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
  37. 532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
  38. conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
  39. (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
  40.  
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  56. IDW10800
  57. Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
  58. Western Australia
  59.  
  60. Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
  61. Issued at 1:17pm WST on Friday the 9th of December 2011
  62. Valid until midnight WST Monday    
  63.  
  64.  
  65. Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
  66. At 11am WST Friday, Tropical Cyclone Alenga [Category 2] was located near 21.0S
  67. 102.0E, moving southeast at 21 kilometers per hour. The cyclone is weakening and
  68. is likely to be below cyclone intensity during Friday evening, however, gales
  69. may persist in the southern semi circle of the system. Alenga is not expected to
  70. impact the WA mainland.
  71.  
  72. Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
  73. Saturday    :Low
  74. Sunday      :Low
  75. Monday      :Very Low
  76.  
  77. Potential Cyclones:
  78. There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
  79. develop over the next three days.
  80.  
  81.  
  82. NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
  83. tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
  84. Very Low:  less than 5%      Low:    5% - 20%,
  85. Moderate:  20% - 50%         High:   Over 50%
  86.  
  87. The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
  88. south of 10S.
  89. Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
  90. www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
  91. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
  92. 532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
  93. conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
  94. (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
  95.  
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  102.  
  103.  
  104. IDW10800
  105.  
  106. UPDATED
  107. Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
  108. Western Australia
  109.  
  110. Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
  111. Issued at 8:29pm WST on Friday the 9th of December 2011
  112. Valid until midnight WST Monday    
  113.  
  114.  
  115. Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
  116. Nil. At 8pm WST Friday, ex-Tropical Cyclone Alenga was located near 21.5S
  117. 102.9E, moving southeast at 12 kilometers per hour. The cyclone is not expected
  118. to redevelop, however gales may persist on the southern side for a period on
  119. Saturday.
  120.  
  121. Potential Cyclones:
  122. There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
  123. develop over the next three days.
  124.  
  125. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region:
  126. Saturday    :Low
  127. Sunday      :Very Low
  128. Monday      :Very Low
  129.  
  130.  
  131. NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
  132. tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
  133. Very Low:  less than 5%      Low:    5% - 20%,
  134. Moderate:  20% - 50%         High:   Over 50%
  135.  
  136. The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
  137. south of 10S.
  138. Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
  139. www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
  140. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
  141. 532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
  142. conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
  143. (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
  144.  
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  154.  
  155. IDW10800
  156. Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
  157. Western Australia
  158.  
  159. Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
  160. Issued at 2:00pm WST on Saturday the 10th of December 2011
  161. Valid until midnight WST Tuesday  
  162.  
  163.  
  164. Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
  165. Nil.
  166.  
  167. At noon WST Saturday, ex-Tropical Cyclone Alenga was located near 22.5S 103.8E,
  168. is moving southeast and is not expected to redevelop.
  169.  
  170. Potential Cyclones:
  171. There is a weak surface low near 16S 095E which is not expected to develop into
  172. a tropical cyclone and is moving to be west of 090E by Monday.
  173.  
  174. There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
  175. develop over the next three days.
  176.  
  177. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region:
  178. Sunday      :Low
  179. Monday      :Very Low
  180. Tuesday     :Very Low
  181.  
  182.  
  183. NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
  184. tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
  185. Very Low:  less than 5%      Low:    5% - 20%,
  186. Moderate:  20% - 50%         High:   Over 50%
  187.  
  188. The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
  189. south of 10S.
  190. Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
  191. www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
  192. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
  193. 532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
  194. conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
  195. (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
  196.  
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  204. IDW10800
  205. Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
  206. Western Australia
  207.  
  208. Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
  209. Issued at 2:00pm WST on Sunday the 11th of December 2011
  210. Valid until midnight WST Wednesday
  211.  
  212.  
  213. Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
  214. Nil.
  215.  
  216. At noon WST Saturday, ex-Tropical Cyclone Alenga was located near 22S 104E, is
  217. moving southeast and is not expected to redevelop.
  218.  
  219. Potential Cyclones:
  220. There is a weak surface low near 10S 094E which is not expected to develop into
  221. a tropical cyclone and is moving to be west of 090E by Tuesday.
  222.  
  223. There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
  224. develop over the next three days.
  225.  
  226. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region:
  227. Monday      :Low
  228. Tuesday     :Very Low
  229. Wednesday   :Very Low
  230.  
  231.  
  232. NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
  233. tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
  234. Very Low:  less than 5%      Low:    5% - 20%,
  235. Moderate:  20% - 50%         High:   Over 50%
  236.  
  237. The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
  238. south of 10S.
  239. Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
  240. www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
  241. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
  242. 532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
  243. conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
  244. (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
  245.  
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  258. IDW10800
  259. Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
  260. Western Australia
  261.  
  262. Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
  263. Issued at 2:00pm WST on Monday the 12th of December 2011
  264. Valid until midnight WST Thursday  
  265.  
  266.  
  267. Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
  268. Nil.
  269.  
  270. Potential Cyclones:
  271. There are no significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop
  272. over the next three days.
  273.  
  274. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region:
  275. Tuesday     :Very Low
  276. Wednesday   :Very Low
  277. Thursday    :Very Low
  278.  
  279.  
  280. NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
  281. tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
  282. Very Low:  less than 5%      Low:    5% - 20%,
  283. Moderate:  20% - 50%         High:   Over 50%
  284.  
  285. The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
  286. south of 10S.
  287. Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
  288. www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
  289. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
  290. 532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
  291. conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
  292. (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
  293.  
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  306.  
  307. IDW10800
  308. Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
  309. Western Australia
  310.  
  311. Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
  312. Issued at 2:00pm WST on Tuesday the 13th of December 2011
  313. Valid until midnight WST Friday    
  314.  
  315.  
  316. Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
  317. Nil.
  318.  
  319. Potential Cyclones:
  320. There are no significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop
  321. over the next three days.
  322.  
  323. Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region:
  324. Wednesday   :Very Low
  325. Thursday    :Very Low
  326. Friday      :Very Low
  327.  
  328.  
  329. NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
  330. tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
  331. Very Low:  less than 5%      Low:    5% - 20%,
  332. Moderate:  20% - 50%         High:   Over 50%
  333.  
  334. The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
  335. south of 10S.
  336. Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
  337. www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
  338. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
  339. 532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
  340. conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
  341. (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
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