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- IDW10800
- Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
- Western Australia
- Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
- Issued at 1:04pm WST on Thursday the 8th of December 2011
- Valid until midnight WST Sunday
- Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
- At 11am WST Thursday, Severe Tropical Cyclone Alenga [Category 3] was located
- near 16.2S 96.0E, moving east southeast at 36 kilometers per hour. The cyclone
- should start to weaken from Thursday evening, and is likely to weaken below
- cyclone intensity during Saturday. Alenga is not expected to impact the WA
- mainland or island communities.
- Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
- Friday :High
- Saturday :High
- Sunday :Low
- Potential Cyclones:
- There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
- develop over the next three days.
- NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
- tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
- Very Low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
- Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
- The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
- south of 10S.
- Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
- www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
- Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
- 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
- conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
- (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
- IDW10800
- Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
- Western Australia
- Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
- Issued at 1:17pm WST on Friday the 9th of December 2011
- Valid until midnight WST Monday
- Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
- At 11am WST Friday, Tropical Cyclone Alenga [Category 2] was located near 21.0S
- 102.0E, moving southeast at 21 kilometers per hour. The cyclone is weakening and
- is likely to be below cyclone intensity during Friday evening, however, gales
- may persist in the southern semi circle of the system. Alenga is not expected to
- impact the WA mainland.
- Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
- Saturday :Low
- Sunday :Low
- Monday :Very Low
- Potential Cyclones:
- There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
- develop over the next three days.
- NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
- tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
- Very Low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
- Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
- The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
- south of 10S.
- Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
- www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
- Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
- 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
- conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
- (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
- IDW10800
- UPDATED
- Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
- Western Australia
- Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
- Issued at 8:29pm WST on Friday the 9th of December 2011
- Valid until midnight WST Monday
- Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
- Nil. At 8pm WST Friday, ex-Tropical Cyclone Alenga was located near 21.5S
- 102.9E, moving southeast at 12 kilometers per hour. The cyclone is not expected
- to redevelop, however gales may persist on the southern side for a period on
- Saturday.
- Potential Cyclones:
- There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
- develop over the next three days.
- Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region:
- Saturday :Low
- Sunday :Very Low
- Monday :Very Low
- NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
- tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
- Very Low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
- Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
- The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
- south of 10S.
- Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
- www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
- Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
- 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
- conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
- (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
- IDW10800
- Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
- Western Australia
- Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
- Issued at 2:00pm WST on Saturday the 10th of December 2011
- Valid until midnight WST Tuesday
- Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
- Nil.
- At noon WST Saturday, ex-Tropical Cyclone Alenga was located near 22.5S 103.8E,
- is moving southeast and is not expected to redevelop.
- Potential Cyclones:
- There is a weak surface low near 16S 095E which is not expected to develop into
- a tropical cyclone and is moving to be west of 090E by Monday.
- There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
- develop over the next three days.
- Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region:
- Sunday :Low
- Monday :Very Low
- Tuesday :Very Low
- NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
- tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
- Very Low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
- Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
- The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
- south of 10S.
- Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
- www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
- Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
- 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
- conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
- (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
- IDW10800
- Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
- Western Australia
- Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
- Issued at 2:00pm WST on Sunday the 11th of December 2011
- Valid until midnight WST Wednesday
- Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
- Nil.
- At noon WST Saturday, ex-Tropical Cyclone Alenga was located near 22S 104E, is
- moving southeast and is not expected to redevelop.
- Potential Cyclones:
- There is a weak surface low near 10S 094E which is not expected to develop into
- a tropical cyclone and is moving to be west of 090E by Tuesday.
- There are no other significant lows in the region and none are expected to
- develop over the next three days.
- Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region:
- Monday :Low
- Tuesday :Very Low
- Wednesday :Very Low
- NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
- tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
- Very Low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
- Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
- The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
- south of 10S.
- Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
- www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
- Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
- 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
- conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
- (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
- IDW10800
- Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
- Western Australia
- Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
- Issued at 2:00pm WST on Monday the 12th of December 2011
- Valid until midnight WST Thursday
- Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
- Nil.
- Potential Cyclones:
- There are no significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop
- over the next three days.
- Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region:
- Tuesday :Very Low
- Wednesday :Very Low
- Thursday :Very Low
- NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
- tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
- Very Low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
- Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
- The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
- south of 10S.
- Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
- www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
- Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
- 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
- conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
- (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
- IDW10800
- Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
- Western Australia
- Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
- Issued at 2:00pm WST on Tuesday the 13th of December 2011
- Valid until midnight WST Friday
- Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
- Nil.
- Potential Cyclones:
- There are no significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop
- over the next three days.
- Likelihood of a tropical cyclone being in the Western Region:
- Wednesday :Very Low
- Thursday :Very Low
- Friday :Very Low
- NOTES: Development Potential is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
- tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
- Very Low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
- Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
- The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
- south of 10S.
- Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
- www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/
- Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
- 532). Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
- conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
- (http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).
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