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Apr 23rd, 2017
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  1. #python 2.7 ; matplotlib
  2.  
  3. All active altcoins were analyzed at poloniex.com; past 3 years of 2h data
  4. 2 hour simple moving averages of period 5 through 1000, stepping by 5, were drawn
  5. Each moving average was colored in rainbow format; slowest on one end of spectrum; fastest on other
  6. Rainbows were then sliced into 2 hour chunks and indexed by coin name and unix stamp
  7. Several hundred thousand such sliced png images 2 pixels by 100 pixels were created occupying several gigs of space
  8. Approximately 50 days of quad core desktop cpu time were used to create the rainbow slices
  9. An additional 2x10 pixels of grey scale were added to each image relative to the breadth of the rainbow moving average mesh
  10. The same process was repeated for BTC/USDT
  11. The current slice 2x110 pixels of rainbow for BTC/USDT was compared using computer vision to each of the quarter million altcoin slices back in time
  12. The best matches were sorted by highest correlation coeff
  13. The most recent 120 days of BTC/USDT data is then plotted in white
  14. In yellow, best matching historical altcoin data from match date to 60 days of projection was plotted
  15. The intensity of the yellow represents the correlation of each historic altcoin to the past 1000 2h candles of BTC/USDT data
  16. Each altcoin was scaled to btc price scale by dividing its beginning price by BTC/USDT last price then multiplying the array by the ratio
  17. The result is a 60 day ensemble model projection for BTC/USDT based on 3 year historical performance of poloniex altcoins
  18.  
  19. litepresence
  20.  
  21. April 2017
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