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Nov 20th, 2018
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  1. P(B1) = 0.5 P(B2) = 0.5
  2. P(F | B1) = 0.25 P(F | B2) = 0
  3. P(F^C | B1) = 0.75 P(F^C | B2) = 1
  4.  
  5. P(B1 | F^C) = (P(B1)*(P(F^C | B1)) / ( P(B1)*P(F^C | B1) + P(B2)*P(F^C | B2) )
  6.  
  7. (0.5*0.75) / ((0.5*0.75)+(0.5*1)) = 3/7
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